Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama Odds · 84th Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Renate Reinsve | 77% | -335 | — |
| Virginie Efira | 91% | -1011 | — |
| Sandra Hüller | 91% | -1011 | — |
| Ruth Madeley | 77% | -335 | — |
| Léa Seydoux | 30% | +233 | — |
| Inde Navarrette | 2% | +4900 | ▲ 2 |
| Mathilde Arcel | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Carrie Coon | 0% | — | — |
| Jeon Do-yeon | 46% | +117 | — |
| Daisy Edgar-Jones | 29% | +245 | — |
| Zendaya | 0% | — | — |
| Emily Blunt | 39% | +156 | — |
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Resolution rules
If Renate Reinsve is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 9, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
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