Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score Odds · Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| above 1490 | 15% | +590 | — |
| above 1495 | 11% | +852 | — |
| above 1500 | 10% | +953 | — |
| above 1505 | 11% | +809 | — |
| above 1510 | 11% | +809 | — |
| above 1515 | 8% | +1150 | — |
| above 1520 | 10% | +953 | — |
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Price history
On Polymarket
A similar market trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1490 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.