FRESH: First Week Streams Odds · FRESH | November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1M | >99% | -19900 | — |
| Above 2M | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Above 3M | 97% | -2757 | — |
| Above 4M | 97% | -3233 | — |
| Above 5M | 97% | -3233 | — |
| Above 6M | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Above 8M | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Above 10M | 96% | -2122 | — |
| Above 12M | 99% | -6567 | — |
| Above 14M | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Above 16M | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 18M | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 20M | 99% | -9900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If FRESH by Lil Baby has above 1M streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 15, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on FRESH: First Week Streams?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.