"FRESH" First Week Album Sales Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60k+ | 89% | -822 | ▼ 6 |
| 80k+ | 15% | +567 | ▼ 47 |
| 100k+ | 35% | +186 | ▼ 2 |
| 120k+ | 12% | +740 | ▼ 24 |
| 140k+ | 31% | +223 | ▼ 4 |
| 160k+ | 2% | +5961 | ▼ 4 |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
"FRESH" (Lil Baby / Quality Control, Motown) is expected to release November 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the debut week sales for "FRESH", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the album has not been released by December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 13, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on "FRESH" First Week Album Sales?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.