FRESH · First Week Album Equivalent Units Odds · FRESH | November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 20K | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 40K | 95% | -1900 | ▼ 4 |
| Above 60K | 71% | -239 | ▼ 14 |
| Above 70K | 50% | +102 | ▼ 24 |
| Above 80K | 31% | +223 | ▼ 31 |
| Above 90K | 14% | +614 | ▼ 35 |
| Above 100K | 5% | +2122 | ▼ 8 |
| Above 120K | 3% | +3233 | ▼ 3 |
| Above 140K | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Above 160K | 3% | +3900 | ▼ 8 |
| Above 180K | 3% | +3900 | ▼ 5 |
| Above 200K | 2% | +4900 | ▲ 1 |
| Above 220K | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Above 240K | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Above 260K | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Above 280K | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Above 300K | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Above 320K | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Above 340K | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Above 360K | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Above 380K | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Above 400K | <1% | +19900 | ▼ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If FRESH by Lil Baby has above 20K Album Equivalent Units during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 15, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on FRESH · First Week Album Equivalent Units?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.