First Solar module volume sold in Q3 Odds · module volume sold in Q3 2026
This market has resolved: Above 3700 mw. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3700 mw ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Above 3800 mw ✓ | 92% | -1150 | ▼ 2 |
| Above 3900 mw ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 7 |
| Above 4000 mw ✓ | 93% | -1329 | ▲ 17 |
| Above 4100 mw ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 32 |
| Above 4200 mw | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 46 |
| Above 4300 mw | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 33 |
| Above 4400 mw | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 19 |
| Above 4500 mw | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 7 |
| Above 4600 mw | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 4 |
| Above 4700 mw | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 4 |
| Above 4800 mw | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 4900 mw | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 5000 mw | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 5100 mw | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 5200 mw | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 5300 mw | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 5400 mw | 1% | +9900 | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If First Solar Inc. reports Above 3700 MW module volume sold in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Feb 25, 2027 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on First Solar module volume sold in Q3?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.