Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting Odds · On Oct 28, 2026
This market has resolved: Above 2.75%. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 2.75% ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 3.00% ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 3.25% ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 3.50% ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 3.75% ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 4.00% | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Above 4.25% | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 4.50% | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 4.75% | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 5.00% | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 5.25% | 1% | +9900 | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 2.75% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Oct 28, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.