AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16

DP World Tour: Abu Dhabi Championship Winner Odds

Polymarket traders give Jon Rahm a 99% chance.

Polymarket Volume $49.3K 24h $15.6K Liquidity $142K Ends Nov 9, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Jon Rahm
99% -7307 ▲ 59
Tyrrell Hatton
1% +6797 ▼ 14
Francesco Laporta
<1% +19900 ▼ 10
Yanhan Zhou
<1% +22122 ▼ 43
Rory McIlroy
<1% +24900 ▼ 24
Aaron Rai
<1% +199900 ▼ 1
Adam Scott
<1% +199900 ▼ 4
Adrian Meronk
<1% +199900 ▼ 2
Andy Sullivan
<1% +199900 ▼ 1
Angel Ayora
<1% +199900 ▼ 1
Angel Hidalgo
<1% +199900 ▼ 14
Bernd Wiesberger
<1% +199900 ▼ 4
Brandon Stone
<1% +199900 ▼ 44
Daniel Hillier
<1% +199900 ▼ 1
David Law
<1% +199900 ▼ 42
David Puig
<1% +199900 ▼ 2
David Ravetto
<1% +199900 ▼ 46
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
<1% +199900 ▼ 1
Ewen Ferguson
<1% +199900 ▼ 1
Francesco Molinari
<1% +199900 ▼ 1
Freddy Schott
<1% +199900 ▼ 1
Frederic Lacroix
<1% +199900 ▼ 48
Jayden Schaper
<1% +199900 ▼ 1
Joel Girrbach
<1% +199900 ▼ 44
Johannes Veerman
<1% +199900 ▼ 42
Julien Guerrier
<1% +199900 ▼ 15
Kazuma Kobori
<1% +199900 ▼ 45
Kristoffer Reitan
<1% +199900 ▼ 1
Manuel Elvira
<1% +199900 ▼ 1
Marco Penge
<1% +199900 ▼ 13
Marcus Kinhult
<1% +199900 ▼ 45
Martin Couvra
<1% +199900 ▼ 1
Matteo Manassero
<1% +199900 ▼ 45
Matthew Jordan
<1% +199900 ▼ 4
Maximilian Steinlechner
<1% +199900 ▼ 42
Nathan Kimsey
<1% +199900 ▼ 1
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
<1% +199900 ▼ 44
Rafael Cabrera
<1% +199900 ▼ 46
Richard Sterne
<1% +199900 ▼ 1
Romain Langasque
<1% +199900 ▼ 44

Showing the top 40 of 47 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 2 Nov 8
Jon RahmTyrrell HattonFrancesco LaportaYanhan Zhou

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Abu Dhabi Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Abu Dhabi Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Abu Dhabi Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by November 15, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in DP World Tour: Abu Dhabi Championship Winner?

As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Jon Rahm at 99%, about -7307 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Nov 9, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on DP World Tour: Abu Dhabi Championship Winner?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.