Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026 Odds · 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4k ✓ | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Above 6k ✓ | 96% | -2400 | — |
| Above 8k ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 10k ✓ | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Above 12k ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 14k ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 16k ✓ | 97% | -3233 | — |
| Above 18k ✓ | 96% | -2400 | — |
| Above 20k ✓ | 92% | -1150 | — |
| Above 22k ✓ | 91% | -1011 | — |
| Above 24k ✓ | 77% | -335 | — |
| Above 26k ✓ | 77% | -335 | — |
| Above 28k ✓ | 65% | -186 | — |
| Above 30k ✓ | 74% | -285 | — |
| Above 32k ✓ | 65% | -186 | — |
| Above 34k | 59% | -141 | — |
| Above 36k | 25% | +300 | — |
| Above 38k | 8% | +1233 | — |
| Above 40k | 6% | +1718 | — |
| Above 42k | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Above 44k | 3% | +3233 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the total number of Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 8, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.