AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16

Copa America 2028 Host Odds

Polymarket traders give United States a 88% chance.

Polymarket Volume $6.7K 24h $0 Liquidity $7.8K Ends Jun 1, 2028 Updated Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
United States
88% -700 —
Peru
5% +1752 ▲ 1
Bolivia
5% +1920 ▲ 4
Brazil
3% +3290 —
Argentina
3% +3471 —
Ecuador
3% +3471 —
Uruguay
1% +7307 —
Venezuela
1% +9424 ▲ 1
Paraguay
<1% +10426 —
Colombia
<1% +14186 —
Chile
<1% +15285 —
Mexico
<1% +18082 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 27 Nov 8
United StatesPeruBoliviaBrazil

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the country officially announced as the host of the 2028 Copa America. A qualifying announcement means an official confirmation by CONMEBOL of the country selected to host the tournament. Bid proposals, recommendations by member associations, and media speculation about the decision will not qualify on their own. If the tournament is officially announced as being co-hosted by more than one country, this market will resolve to the country CONMEBOL designates as the primary host; if no primary host is designated, this market will resolve to "Other". A qualifying announcement before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of any subsequent change to the host or to the scheduled dates of the tournament. If no host is officially announced by June 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from CONMEBOL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in Copa America 2028 Host?

As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price United States at 88%, about -700 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Jun 1, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Copa America 2028 Host?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.