Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 31, 2026 Odds · the week ending Oct 31, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1660K | 97% | -3233 | — |
| At least 1670K | 96% | -2400 | ▲ 99 |
| At least 1680K | 95% | -1718 | — |
| At least 1690K | 89% | -770 | — |
| At least 1700K | 73% | -264 | — |
| At least 1710K | 52% | -108 | — |
| At least 1720K | 28% | +264 | — |
| At least 1730K | 17% | +488 | — |
| At least 1740K | 7% | +1329 | — |
| At least 1750K | 4% | +2400 | — |
| At least 1760K | 3% | +3233 | ▲ 1 |
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Resolution rules
If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 31, 2026 is at least 1660K, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 19, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 31, 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.