AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16

CONCACAF Nations League 2026-27 Winner Odds

Polymarket traders give Mexico a 38% chance (Kalshi: 35%).

Polymarket Volume $10.9K 24h $2 Liquidity $17.2K Ends Mar 31, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h Kalshi
Mexico
38% +167 — 35%
United States
28% +257 ▲ 5 —
Canada
11% +781 ▼ 2 8%
Curacao
6% +1581 — 13%
Panama
6% +1639 ▲ 1 2%
Haiti
5% +1983 — 1%
El Salvador
4% +2339 — <1%
Martinique
4% +2678 — <1%
Trinidad and Tobago
3% +2977 — <1%
Dominican Republic
3% +3025 — <1%
Nicaragua
2% +6352 — <1%
Suriname
<1% +10426 — <1%
Costa Rica
<1% +14186 — <1%
Honduras
<1% +14186 — <1%
Guatemala
<1% +14186 — 10%
Jamaica
<1% +39900 — <1%

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 18 Nov 7
MexicoUnited StatesCanada

On Kalshi

The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.

CONCACAF Nations League A Champion · 2026-27 League A
USA39% ▼ 13
Mexico35% ▼ 4
Curacao13% —
Guatemala10% —
Kalshi $16 24h · $13.7K vol

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League per the rules of CONCACAF (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League is cancelled, postponed after April 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from CONCACAF; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in CONCACAF Nations League 2026-27 Winner?

As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Mexico at 38%, about +167 in American odds. On Kalshi the same outcome trades at 35%. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Mar 31, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on CONCACAF Nations League 2026-27 Winner?

This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.