CMA Single of the Year 2026 Odds
Polymarket traders give Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) a 89% chance (Kalshi: 90%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) | 89% | -770 | — | 90% |
| Be Her (Ella Langley) | 4% | +2173 | — | 5% |
| Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson) | 3% | +2885 | — | 5% |
| I Knew It, I Knew You (Taylor Swift) | 3% | +2977 | ▲ 1 | 4% |
| The Fall (Cody Johnson) | 2% | +5305 | — | 3% |
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Price history
On Kalshi
The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year. If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in CMA Single of the Year 2026?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) at 89%, about -770 in American odds. On Kalshi the same outcome trades at 90%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 19, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on CMA Single of the Year 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.