China Annual Inflation 2026 Odds
Polymarket traders give 0.6 – 1.0% a 62% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 – 1.0% | 62% | -163 | ▲ 1 |
| 0.1 – 0.5% | 27% | +270 | ▲ 6 |
| 1.1 – 1.5% | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 3 |
| 2.5%+ | 4% | +2567 | ▼ 4 |
| 1.6 – 2.0% | 3% | +3822 | — |
| <-1.0% | 1% | +7307 | — |
| -0.4 – 0.0% | <1% | +11011 | — |
| -0.9 – -0.5% | <1% | +39900 | — |
| 2.0-2.4% | <1% | +39900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in China Annual Inflation 2026?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 0.6 – 1.0% at 62%, about -163 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 11, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on China Annual Inflation 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.