ChatGPT App downloads in November 2026 Odds · November 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 54.5 | 99% | -6567 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 61.5 | 98% | -3900 | — |
| Above 65 | 88% | -733 | — |
| Above 68.5 | 97% | -3233 | ▲ 97 |
| Above 72 | 77% | -335 | ▲ 77 |
| Above 76 | 64% | -178 | ▼ 4 |
| Above 80 | 57% | -133 | ▲ 2 |
| Above 90.5 | 50% | -100 | ▲ 50 |
| Above 101 | 0% | — | — |
| Above 111.5 | 0% | — | — |
| Above 122 | 0% | — | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App downloads (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 54.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 15, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on ChatGPT App downloads in November 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.