Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November Odds · Nov 4, 2026 meeting
This market has resolved: Maintain current rate. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 16 |
| Cut more than 25bps | 5% | +1900 | — |
| Hike 1-25bps | 5% | +1900 | ▲ 2 |
| Cut 1-25bps | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 15 |
| Hike more than 25bps | 1% | +9900 | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 5, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.