Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 Odds · retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026
This market has resolved: Above 200000. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 200000 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 205000 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 5 |
| Above 210000 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 14 |
| Above 215000 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 44 |
| Above 217000 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 54 |
| Above 220000 | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 18 |
| Above 225000 | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 4 |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Carvana Co. reports Above 200000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Feb 25, 2027 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q3?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.