Canada GDP: September 2026 (MoM) Odds
Polymarket traders give -0.2 to -0.1% a 54% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| -0.2 to -0.1% | 54% | -117 | ▲ 1 |
| 0.0 to 0.1% | 16% | +545 | ▼ 4 |
| <-0.2% | 14% | +614 | ▼ 1 |
| 0.2 to 0.3% | 4% | +2199 | — |
| 0.6%+ | 4% | +2253 | — |
| 0.4 to 0.5% | 2% | +5028 | ▼ 1 |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending September 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for September 2026, scheduled for release on November 30, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Canada GDP: September 2026 (MoM)?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price -0.2 to -0.1% at 54%, about -117 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 30, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Canada GDP: September 2026 (MoM)?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.