California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 Odds · September 30, 2026
This market has resolved: Above 680,000. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 680,000 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 690,000 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 7 |
| Above 700,000 | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 2 |
| Above 710,000 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 720,000 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 730,000 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 740,000 | 1% | +9900 | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If the California FAIR Plan reports total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 are above 680,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 23, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.