Bristol Bay sockeye run forecast for 2027 Odds · 2027 season
Kalshi traders give Between 49 and 55 million a 96% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Between 49 and 55 million | 96% | -2400 | — |
| Above 55 million | 7% | +1329 | — |
| Between 37 and 42.99 million | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Below 29 million | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Between 29 and 36.99 million | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Between 43 and 48.99 million | 1% | +9900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is below 29 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Bristol Bay sockeye run forecast for 2027?
As of Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Between 49 and 55 million at 96%, about -2400 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 4, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Bristol Bay sockeye run forecast for 2027?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.