Bitcoin price on November 12 Odds
Polymarket traders give 76,000-78,000 a 25% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76,000-78,000 | 25% | +308 | ▼ 0 |
| 74,000-76,000 | 24% | +317 | ▲ 1 |
| 78,000-80,000 | 15% | +567 | ▼ 0 |
| 72,000-74,000 | 14% | +614 | ▼ 1 |
| 80,000-82,000 | 7% | +1329 | ▼ 0 |
| 70,000-72,000 | 7% | +1438 | ▼ 0 |
| <68,000 | 2% | +4900 | — |
| 82,000-84,000 | 2% | +4900 | — |
| 68,000-70,000 | 2% | +5028 | ▼ 1 |
| 84,000-86,000 | 1% | +9424 | — |
| >86,000 | 1% | +9424 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Bitcoin price on November 12?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 76,000-78,000 at 25%, about +308 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 12, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Bitcoin price on November 12?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.