Bitcoin best month in 2026 Odds
Polymarket traders give August a 95% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| August | 95% | -1769 | — |
| December | 4% | +2369 | — |
| November | 3% | +3409 | ▼ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change. The “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published. The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT If two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically. Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered. If it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Bitcoin best month in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price August at 95%, about -1769 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Bitcoin best month in 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.