Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of November 14 Odds
Polymarket traders give Thriller - Michael Jackson a 49% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thriller - Michael Jackson | 49% | +106 | ▲ 35 |
| Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley | 2% | +4248 | ▼ 6 |
| Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan | 2% | +4445 | — |
| Patient Zero - Taylor Swift | 2% | +5163 | — |
| Housewife - Tate McRae | 1% | +9424 | — |
| Lies - Zach Bryan Featuring Lana Del Rey | <1% | +16567 | — |
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Price history
On Kalshi
A similar market trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of November 14, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of November 14?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Thriller - Michael Jackson at 49%, about +106 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 11, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of November 14?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.