Ballon d'Or Winner 2027 Odds
Polymarket traders give Lamine Yamal a 25% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lamine Yamal | 25% | +308 | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | 22% | +365 | — |
| Raphinha | 14% | +641 | ▲ 1 |
| Michael Olise | 10% | +866 | — |
| Desire Doue | 9% | +1011 | ▲ 4 |
| Erling Haaland | 6% | +1654 | — |
| Harry Kane | 6% | +1702 | ▲ 1 |
| Jude Bellingham | 4% | +2281 | — |
| Declan Rice | 4% | +2757 | — |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 3% | +3075 | — |
| Vitinha | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Rayan Cherki | 2% | +4248 | — |
| Julian Alvarez | 2% | +4778 | — |
| Fabian Ruiz | 2% | +5305 | — |
| Bukayo Saka | 2% | +5305 | — |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 2% | +5961 | — |
| Rodri | 2% | +6150 | — |
| Luis Diaz | 2% | +6352 | — |
| Mohamed Salah | 2% | +6352 | — |
| Achraf Hakimi | 1% | +7043 | — |
| Alexander Isak | 1% | +7043 | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | 1% | +7307 | — |
| João Neves | <1% | +11665 | — |
| William Saliba | <1% | +12400 | — |
| Marc Cucurella | <1% | +13233 | — |
| Lautaro Martinez | <1% | +18082 | — |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | <1% | +33233 | — |
| Lionel Messi | <1% | +39900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Ballon d'Or award for the 2027 Ballon d'Or. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by France Football and UEFA rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2027 Ballon d'Or is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Ballon d'Or Winner 2027?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Lamine Yamal at 25%, about +308 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Ballon d'Or Winner 2027?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.