Avengers: Doomsday: Cast Odds · Avengers: Doomsday
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? | 90% | -852 | ▼ 3 |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | 36% | +178 | ▼ 1 |
| Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? | 25% | +300 | ▲ 4 |
| Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? | 93% | -1329 | ▼ 2 |
| Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? | 88% | -700 | — |
| Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez? | 58% | -138 | ▲ 1 |
| Benedict Wong as Wong? | 72% | -257 | ▼ 1 |
| Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? | 52% | -108 | ▲ 2 |
| Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? | 72% | -251 | ▼ 2 |
| Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel? | 76% | -308 | ▼ 1 |
| Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? | 76% | -308 | ▼ 4 |
| Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? | 9% | +1011 | — |
| Jonathan Majors as Kang? | 7% | +1329 | ▲ 2 |
| Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? | 93% | -1233 | ▲ 1 |
| Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts? | 56% | -127 | — |
| Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? | 23% | +344 | — |
| Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? | 41% | +147 | — |
| Halle Berry as Storm? | 14% | +614 | ▼ 6 |
| Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? | 78% | -344 | ▲ 4 |
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Price history
On Polymarket
A similar market trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If Tobey Maguire performs / is announced as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 2, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Avengers: Doomsday: Cast?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.