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Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026 Odds

Polymarket traders give 1600.00+ a 54% chance.

Polymarket Volume $13.5K 24h $54 Liquidity $4.4K Ends Dec 31, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
1600.00+
54% -115 ▼ 8
1550.00–1599.99
26% +290 ▲ 3
<1250.00
23% +338 ▲ 17
1350.00–1399.99
20% +389 ▲ 8
1400.00–1449.99
20% +409 ▲ 8
1450.00–1499.99
12% +770 ▼ 1
1500.00–1549.99
11% +817 ▼ 1
1250.00–1299.99
6% +1686 —
1300.00–1349.99
6% +1702 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 8 Nov 8
<1250.00

Resolution rules

This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?

As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 1600.00+ at 54%, about -115 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.