Argentina Monthly Inflation - October Odds
Polymarket traders give 1.9 to 2.1% a 54% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9 to 2.1% | 54% | -117 | ▲ 5 |
| 1.6 to 1.8% | 28% | +264 | ▼ 9 |
| 1.3 to 1.5% | 12% | +720 | ▲ 9 |
| 2.2 to 2.4% | 5% | +2098 | ▼ 2 |
| 2.5 to 2.7% | 3% | +3126 | — |
| 2.8 to 3.0% | <1% | +13233 | — |
| ≤1.2% | <1% | +24900 | — |
| 3.1%+ | <1% | +24900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in October 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026, currently scheduled to be released on November 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional". Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Argentina Monthly Inflation - October?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 1.9 to 2.1% at 54%, about -117 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 12, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Argentina Monthly Inflation - October?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.