Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by... Odds
Polymarket traders give No a 84% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 17% | +506 | ▲ 1 |
| No | 84% | -506 | ▼ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying meeting between Anthropic and the Holy See takes place between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying participants are as follows: - Anthropic: a co-founder, a C-suite executive, or a representative officially designated by Anthropic. - Vatican: the Pope, a head or senior official of a Holy See institution, or a representative officially designated by the Holy See. A qualifying meeting must involve direct, substantive discussion between at least one qualifying representative of Anthropic and at least one qualifying representative of the Holy See. A bilateral meeting or a joint working session within a larger event will qualify. Mere attendance at the same event, an incidental greeting, a photo opportunity, or separate speeches will not qualify. The meeting must take place in person. Video calls, phone calls, and other virtual meetings will not qualify. The meeting must take place after this market's creation. Newly reported details of a meeting that took place before this market's creation will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation from Anthropic or the Holy See; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by..."?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price No at 84%, about -506 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by...?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.