Alaska commercial salmon harvest in 2026 Odds · 2026 season
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 75 million | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 3 |
| At least 80 million | 0% | — | — |
| At least 85 million | 0% | — | — |
| At least 90 million | 98% | -4900 | — |
| At least 95 million | 89% | -809 | — |
| At least 100 million | 17% | +488 | — |
| At least 105 million | 13% | +669 | — |
| At least 110 million | 10% | +900 | — |
| At least 115 million | 6% | +1567 | ▲ 5 |
| At least 120 million | 12% | +733 | — |
| At least 125 million | 6% | +1567 | — |
| At least 130 million | 21% | +376 | — |
| At least 135 million | 19% | +426 | — |
| At least 140 million | 2% | +4900 | — |
| At least 145 million | 0% | — | — |
| At least 150 million | 6% | +1567 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Alaska's statewide commercial harvest of all salmon for the 2026 season is at least 75 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 14, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Alaska commercial salmon harvest in 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.