Alaska Air passenger load factor in fiscal 2026 Odds · passenger load factor in 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 81% | 94% | -1438 | ▲ 7 |
| Above 81.5% | 38% | +163 | ▲ 6 |
| Above 82% | 11% | +809 | ▲ 2 |
| Above 82.5% | 7% | +1438 | ▲ 2 |
| Above 83% | 5% | +2122 | — |
| Above 83.5% | 4% | +2757 | — |
| Above 84% | 4% | +2757 | — |
| Above 84.5% | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Above 85% | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Above 85.5% | 2% | +6567 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Alaska Air Group Inc. reports Above 81% passenger load factor in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists May 27, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
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