AL MVP Winner Odds · 2026 season
Kalshi traders give Yordan Álvarez a >99% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Álvarez | >99% | -19900 | — |
| Aaron Judge | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Cal Raleigh | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Gunnar Henderson | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Julio Rodríguez | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Nick Kurtz | <1% | +19900 | — |
| José Ramírez | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Roman Anthony | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Junior Caminero | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Pete Alonso | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Corey Seager | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Carlos Correa | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Cody Bellinger | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Zach Neto | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Wyatt Langford | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Byron Buxton | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Alejandro Kirk | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Adley Rutschman | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Jo Adell | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Tarik Skubal | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Garrett Crochet | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Riley Greene | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Jacob Wilson | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Jackson Holliday | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Maikel García | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Josh Naylor | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Mike Trout | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Jose Altuve | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Steven Kwan | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Yandy Diaz | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | <1% | +19900 | — |
| George Springer | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Jarren Duran | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Ben Rice | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Randy Arozarena | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Trevor Story | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | <1% | +19900 | — |
Showing the top 40 of 49 outcomes.
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Price history
On Polymarket
A similar market trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If Aaron Judge wins the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in AL MVP Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Yordan Álvarez at >99%, about -19900 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on AL MVP Winner?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.