AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16

AL Cy Young Winner Odds · 2026 season

Kalshi traders give Cam Schlittler a >99% chance.

Kalshi Volume $580K 24h $945 Ends Dec 31, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Cam Schlittler
>99% -19900 —
Tarik Skubal
<1% +19900 —
Garrett Crochet
<1% +19900 —
Jacob Degrom
<1% +19900 —
Cole Ragans
<1% +19900 —
Hunter Brown
<1% +19900 —
Max Fried
<1% +19900 —
Bryan Woo
<1% +19900 —
Logan Gilbert
<1% +19900 —
Carlos Rodon
<1% +19900 —
Dylan Cease
<1% +19900 —
George Kirby
<1% +19900 —
Gavin Williams
<1% +19900 —
Joe Ryan
<1% +19900 —
Kevin Gausman
<1% +19900 —
Nathan Eovaldi
<1% +19900 —
Ranger Suarez
<1% +19900 —
Trevor Rogers
<1% +19900 —
Kyle Bradish
<1% +19900 —
MacKenzie Gore
<1% +19900 —
Pablo Lopez
<1% +19900 —
Sonny Gray
<1% +19900 —
Trey Yesavage
<1% +19900 —
Luis Castillo
<1% +19900 —
Jack Flaherty
<1% +19900 —
Jose Soriano
<1% +19900 —
Shane Bieber
<1% +19900 —
Shane McClanahan
<1% +19900 —
Tanner Bibee
<1% +19900 —
Yusei Kikuchi
<1% +19900 —
Drew Rasmussen
<1% +19900 —
Grayson Rodriguez
<1% +19900 —
Kris Bubic
<1% +19900 —
Brayan Bello
<1% +19900 —
Bryce Miller
<1% +19900 —
Casey Mize
<1% +19900 —
Gerrit Cole
<1% +19900 —
Luis Gil
<1% +19900 —
Aroldis Chapman
<1% +19900 —
Michael Wacha
<1% +19900 —

Showing the top 40 of 42 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 17 Nov 1
Cam Schlittler

On Polymarket

A similar market trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.

MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner
Cam Schlittler>99%
Dylan Cease<1%
Parker Messick<1%
Polymarket $0 24h · $1.3M vol

Resolution rules

If Tarik Skubal wins the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in AL Cy Young Winner?

As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Cam Schlittler at >99%, about -19900 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on AL Cy Young Winner?

This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.