3rd Largest Company end of December 2026 Odds
Polymarket traders give Microsoft a 69% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft | 69% | -223 | ▲ 3 |
| Alphabet | 19% | +441 | ▼ 1 |
| NVIDIA | 9% | +981 | ▲ 2 |
| Apple | 3% | +3348 | — |
| Amazon | 1% | +8991 | — |
| SpaceX | <1% | +33233 | — |
| Tesla | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Saudi Aramco | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Broadcom | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in 3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Microsoft at 69%, about -223 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on 3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.