2nd richest person on December 31 Odds
Polymarket traders give Jeff Bezos a 52% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Bezos | 52% | -110 | ▲ 12 |
| Michael Dell | 38% | +167 | ▼ 8 |
| Sergey Brin | 32% | +216 | ▼ 5 |
| Larry Page | 31% | +228 | ▲ 8 |
| Warren Buffett | 21% | +366 | ▲ 3 |
| Jensen Huang | 18% | +446 | ▲ 1 |
| Bernard Arnault | 12% | +720 | — |
| Steve Ballmer | 10% | +926 | — |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 8% | +1166 | ▲ 3 |
| Larry Ellison | 3% | +3674 | — |
| Elon Musk | 2% | +4445 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in 2nd richest person on December 31?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Jeff Bezos at 52%, about -110 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 3, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on 2nd richest person on December 31?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.