2026 World Chess Championship: Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Javokhir Sindarov a 76% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Javokhir Sindarov | 76% | -317 | ▼ 0 |
| Gukesh Dommaraju | 24% | +326 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in 2026 World Chess Championship: Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Javokhir Sindarov at 76%, about -317 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jul 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on 2026 World Chess Championship: Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.