AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe 3% ▼ 29Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 77% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 20Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 72% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Iran … 75% ▼ 17ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe 3% ▼ 29Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 77% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 20Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 72% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Iran … 75% ▼ 17ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15

#2 US Netflix Show this week Odds · The chart published on Nov 10, 2026

Kalshi traders give Nobody Wants This: Season 3 a 64% chance.

Kalshi Volume $6.9K 24h $1.3K Ends Nov 10, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
64% -174 ▼ 20
The One About Matthew Perry: Season 1
26% +285 ▲ 12
The Fall of El Mayo: Limited Series
<1% +19900 —
From: Season 1
<1% +19900 —
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
<1% +19900 —
From: Season 2
<1% +19900 —
Minimum Wage: Season 1
<1% +19900 —
Raw: 2026 - October 26, 2026
<1% +19900 —
Instadocs: Jane Doe v. Cornell
<1% +19900 —
From: Season 3
<1% +19900 —
Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1
<1% +19900 —
Black Doves: Season 2
<1% +19900 —
Mike Tyson: Return of the Mike
<1% +19900 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 4 Nov 8
Nobody Wants This: Season 3The One About Matthew Perry: Season 1The Fall of El Mayo: Limited Series

On Polymarket

A similar market trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (November 10)
Nobody Wants This: Season 363% ▼ 20
The One About Matthew Perry: Season 125% ▲ 15
Black Doves: Season 2<1% ▼ 1
Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1<1% ▼ 1
Polymarket $4.6K 24h · $11.8K vol

Resolution rules

If The One About Matthew Perry: Season 1 is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show on the chart published on Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in #2 US Netflix Show this week?

As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Nobody Wants This: Season 3 at 64%, about -174 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 10, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on #2 US Netflix Show this week?

This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.