#2 Spotify Song 2026 Odds
Polymarket traders give Babydoll – Dominic Fike a 70% chance (Kalshi: 72%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Babydoll – Dominic Fike | 70% | -228 | ▼ 9 | 72% |
| End of Beginning – Djo | 19% | +426 | ▲ 8 | 16% |
| Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj | <1% | +49900 | — | <1% |
| stupid song – Olivia Rodrigo | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Risk It All – Bruno Mars | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
| APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
| Man I Need – Olivia Dean | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Swim – BTS | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Billie Jean – Michael Jackson | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
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Price history
On Kalshi
The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song globally for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song of 2026. The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release who their #2 song for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in #2 Spotify Song 2026?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Babydoll – Dominic Fike at 70%, about -228 in American odds. On Kalshi the same outcome trades at 72%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Feb 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on #2 Spotify Song 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.