#2 Spotify Artist 2026 Odds
Polymarket traders give Drake a 93% chance (Kalshi: 94%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake | 93% | -1427 | ▲ 5 | 94% |
| Taylor Swift | 6% | +1567 | ▼ 4 | 5% |
| Ed Sheeran | <1% | +28471 | — | — |
| Bad Bunny | <1% | +66567 | — | <1% |
| Billie Eilish | <1% | +66567 | — | — |
| Ariana Grande | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
| The Weeknd | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Eminem | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
| Justin Bieber | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
| Bruno Mars | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
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Price history
On Kalshi
The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
Spotify releases an annual report of its most-streamed artists (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/). This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed Spotify artist for 2026. If Spotify does not release its second most-streamed artist for 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". If Spotify lists more than one artist as the second most-streamed artist, this market will resolve in favor of the artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Spotify is a registered mark of Spotify AB. Polymarket is not affiliated with Spotify AB and neither Spotify AB, nor its affiliates, sponsor or endorse Polymarket.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in #2 Spotify Artist 2026?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Drake at 93%, about -1427 in American odds. On Kalshi the same outcome trades at 94%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Feb 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on #2 Spotify Artist 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.