World Happiness Report 2027: Top 5 countries Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finland | 97% | -3126 | ▲ 1 |
| Denmark | 98% | -4662 | ▲ 1 |
| Iceland | 96% | -2310 | — |
| Sweden | 34% | +194 | ▲ 9 |
| Costa Rica | 90% | -900 | ▲ 1 |
| Norway | 19% | +441 | ▼ 1 |
| Netherlands | 13% | +669 | ▼ 1 |
| Israel | 43% | +133 | ▲ 10 |
| Luxembourg | 7% | +1381 | ▼ 1 |
| Switzerland | 5% | +2051 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes in the top 5 of the World Happiness Report 2027 ranking of countries by life evaluations (in the World Happiness Report 2026, this ranking was published as "Figure 2.1: Country rankings by life evaluations. Gallup World Poll (2023–2025)"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The World Happiness Report 2027 is expected to be published in March 2027. Countries will be ranked according to their published rank in the World Happiness Report 2027. If two or more countries share the same published rank, they will be ranked by their life evaluation score (the average Cantril ladder score) as published in the report, with higher scores ranking higher. If they remain tied, they will be ranked in alphabetical order of their English names. This market will resolve to "Yes" for each country that occupies one of the top 5 places after applying this ranking. If no World Happiness Report 2027 ranking is published by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Happiness Report (https://worldhappiness.report/); a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Apr 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on World Happiness Report 2027: Top 5 countries?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.