Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 95% ▲ 99Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 89% ▲ 89SK Slavia Prague vs. Igokea 11% ▼ 56ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: A… 94% ▲ 45Rostock Seawolves vs. SC RASTA Vechta: O/U 1… 8% ▼ 42Total commitments for the Mori Finance publi… 11% ▼ 41Women's Bantamweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: … 97% ▲ 37Sopo: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Julia Gra… 61% ▲ 36Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem: O/U 1… 10% ▼ 35# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 41% ▲ 34Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur: Zso… 12% ▼ 32Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sal… 58% ▼ 30Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the … 96% ▲ 30Sheffield United FC vs. Watford FC - Exact S… 34% ▲ 29Abu Dhabi T10 League: Emirates Eagles vs UAE… 79% ▲ 29Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by...: Decembe… 18% ▼ 29Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: Ciryl Gane 97% ▲ 29# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 40% ▲ 28South African Reserve Bank Decision in March… 65% ▲ 27College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 97% ▲ 25#1 Searched Person on Google 2026: Jensen Hu… 17% ▼ 24Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren… 20% ▼ 23Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw/Tie 4% ▼ 23JL Bourg Basket vs. Buducnost Podgorica: JL … 10% ▼ 22Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 95% ▲ 99Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 89% ▲ 89SK Slavia Prague vs. Igokea 11% ▼ 56ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: A… 94% ▲ 45Rostock Seawolves vs. SC RASTA Vechta: O/U 1… 8% ▼ 42Total commitments for the Mori Finance publi… 11% ▼ 41Women's Bantamweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: … 97% ▲ 37Sopo: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Julia Gra… 61% ▲ 36Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem: O/U 1… 10% ▼ 35# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 41% ▲ 34Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur: Zso… 12% ▼ 32Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sal… 58% ▼ 30Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the … 96% ▲ 30Sheffield United FC vs. Watford FC - Exact S… 34% ▲ 29Abu Dhabi T10 League: Emirates Eagles vs UAE… 79% ▲ 29Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by...: Decembe… 18% ▼ 29Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: Ciryl Gane 97% ▲ 29# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 40% ▲ 28South African Reserve Bank Decision in March… 65% ▲ 27College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 97% ▲ 25#1 Searched Person on Google 2026: Jensen Hu… 17% ▼ 24Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren… 20% ▼ 23Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw/Tie 4% ▼ 23JL Bourg Basket vs. Buducnost Podgorica: JL … 10% ▼ 22

World Happiness Report 2027: 2nd place Odds

Polymarket traders give Denmark a 47% chance.

Polymarket Volume $14.7K 24h $8.0K Liquidity $25.9K Ends Apr 1, 2027 Updated Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Denmark
47% +115 ▼ 5
Iceland
32% +212 ▼ 8
Costa Rica
13% +681 ▲ 4
Israel
3% +3822 ▲ 1
Finland
1% +9424 ▲ 1
Sweden
<1% +16567 —
Norway
<1% +18082 —
Netherlands
<1% +19900 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 14 Nov 15
DenmarkIcelandCosta RicaIsrael

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the country that finishes in 2nd place in the World Happiness Report 2027 ranking of countries by life evaluations (in the World Happiness Report 2026, this ranking was published as "Figure 2.1: Country rankings by life evaluations. Gallup World Poll (2023–2025)"). The World Happiness Report 2027 is expected to be published in March 2027. Countries will be ranked according to their published rank in the World Happiness Report 2027. If two or more countries share the same published rank, they will be ranked by their life evaluation score (the average Cantril ladder score) as published in the report, with higher scores ranking higher. If they remain tied, they will be ranked in alphabetical order of their English names. This market will resolve to the country that occupies 2nd place after applying this ranking. If no World Happiness Report 2027 ranking is published by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Happiness Report (https://worldhappiness.report/); a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in World Happiness Report 2027: 2nd place?

As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Denmark at 47%, about +115 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Apr 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on World Happiness Report 2027: 2nd place?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.