World Cup 2030: Location of Final Odds
Polymarket traders give Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 a 49% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 | 49% | +106 | — |
| Moroccan city | 19% | +436 | — |
| Madrid | 18% | +451 | — |
| Barcelona | 1% | +7043 | — |
| Portuguese city | <1% | +24900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the city officially announced by FIFA as the host of the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for July 21, 2030. A qualifying announcement means an official confirmation by FIFA of the stadium or city selected to host the final. Bid proposals, venue lists, recommendations by member federations or bid committees, and media speculation about FIFA's decision will not qualify on their own. If FIFA announces a stadium rather than a city, this market will resolve to the city FIFA designates as that stadium's host city in its official 2030 FIFA World Cup materials. A qualifying announcement before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of any subsequent change to the venue or to the scheduled date of the final. If no host city for the final is officially announced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in World Cup 2030: Location of Final?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 at 49%, about +106 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jul 22, 2030 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on World Cup 2030: Location of Final?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.