AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Odds · Women's Ballon d'Or

This market has resolved: Alexia Putellas. Final prices are below.

Kalshi Volume $35.5K Ended Oct 27, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Alexia Putellas ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 6
Caroline Graham Hansen
6% +1567 ▲ 6
Patri Guijarro
3% +3233 —
Alessia Russo
3% +3233 ▲ 3
Temwa Chawinga
2% +4900 ▲ 2
Momoko Tanikawa
2% +4900 —
Mariona Caldentey
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Scarlett Camberos
1% +9900 ▼ 4
Cata Coll
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Melchie Dumornay
1% +9900 ▼ 5
Alex Greenwood
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Melvine Malard
1% +9900 ▼ 3
Ewa Pajor
1% +9900 ▼ 5
Clàudia Pina
1% +9900 ▼ 1
Khadija Shaw
1% +9900 ▼ 1
Selma Bacha
0% — —
Barbra Banda
0% — —
Esmee Brugts
0% — —
Klara Bühl
0% — —
Kerstin Casparij
0% — —
Pernille Harder
0% — —
Yui Hasegawa
0% — —
Rose Lavelle
0% — —
Mapi León
0% — —
Lorena
0% — —
Manaka Matsukubo
0% — —
Vivianne Miedema
0% — —
Wendie Renard
0% — —
Caroline Weir
0% — —
Tessa Wullaert
0% — —

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 26 Oct 27
Alexia PutellasCaroline Graham HansenPatri GuijarroAlessia Russo

Resolution rules

If Selma Bacha wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Oct 27, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.

Where can I trade on Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.