Will Musk deposit SpaceX shares into 10M Trump Accounts Odds · Before 2028
Kalshi traders give “Yes” a 78% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 78% | -355 | ▼ 1 |
| No | 22% | +355 | ▲ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Elon Musk depositing SpaceX shares into the Trump Accounts of at least 10 million children is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will Musk deposit SpaceX shares into 10M Trump Accounts"?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Yes at 78%, about -355 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will Musk deposit SpaceX shares into 10M Trump Accounts?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.