Rain during the Brazilian Grand Prix Odds
Polymarket traders give “Yes” a 65% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65% | -186 | ▼ 3 |
| No | 35% | +186 | ▲ 3 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix taking place on November 8, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point. The 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix refers to the race held at Autódromo José Carlos Pace (Interlagos), listed by the FIA as the São Paulo Grand Prix. This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after November 16, 2026, this market resolves "No". Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix will qualify. If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by November 16, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve off the FIA Weather Report which will be available on the Event&Timing Information page: https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one. If this link is unavailable, the report will be located via FIA's official F1 season hub at fia.com.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Rain during the Brazilian Grand Prix"?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Yes at 65%, about -186 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 16, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Rain during the Brazilian Grand Prix?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.