Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026 Odds · In 2026
This market has resolved: Harry Kane. Final prices are below.
Kalshi Volume $7.6M Ended Jan 1, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Kylian Mbappe | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Lamine Yamal | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Erling Haaland | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Declan Rice | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Vitinha | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Michael Olise | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Raphinha | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Lionel Messi | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Vinicius Junior | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Bukayo Saka | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Luis Diaz | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Pedri | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Rayan Cherki | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Jude Bellingham | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Ousmane Dembele | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Desire Doue | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Mohamed Salah | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Cole Palmer | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Scott McTominay | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Nuno Mendes | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Bradley Barcola | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Lautaro Martinez | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Phil Foden | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Rodri | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Marcus Rashford | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 1% | +9900 | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Kylian Mbappe wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.