Who will host the 2038 FIFA World Cup Odds · 2038
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 5% | +1900 | — |
| Italy | 6% | +1718 | — |
| Cambodia | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Greece or Turkey | 3% | +2757 | — |
| China | 19% | +426 | — |
| Switzerland or Austria | 5% | +2122 | — |
| Egypt | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Australia or New Zealand | 16% | +525 | — |
| United Kingdom or Ireland | 7% | +1438 | — |
| Panama or Costa Rica | 2% | +4900 | — |
| France, Belgium or the Netherlands | 11% | +852 | — |
| Brazil, Colombia or Peru | 10% | +953 | — |
| Argentina, Uruguay, Chile or Paraguay | 17% | +488 | — |
| USA | 37% | +174 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Germany is announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2034 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Who will host the 2038 FIFA World Cup?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.