Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony Odds
This market has resolved: Lamine Yamal. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi | 0% | — | ▼ 8 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 0% | — | ▼ 3 |
| Lamine Yamal ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 1 |
| Kylian Mbappé ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 3 |
| Harry Kane ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 2 |
| Ousmane Dembélé ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 16 |
| Vinícius Júnior | 0% | — | ▼ 56 |
| Rodri ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 2 |
| Zinedine Zidane | 0% | — | ▼ 72 |
| Sergio Ramos | 0% | — | ▼ 6 |
| Kaka | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| Xavi Hernandez | 0% | — | ▼ 3 |
| David Beckham | 0% | — | ▼ 51 |
| Michael Owen ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 22 |
| Ronaldinho | 0% | — | ▼ 13 |
| Vozinha ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 6 |
| Ronaldo Nazário ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 69 |
| Vincent Kompany | 0% | — | ▼ 3 |
| Michael Olise ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 23 |
| Jürgen Klopp | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Kate Scott ✓ | 100% | — | — |
| Luis Enrique | 0% | — | — |
| Princess Charlene of Monaco | 0% | — | ▼ 34 |
| DJ Snake | 0% | — | ▼ 12 |
| Erling Haaland | 0% | — | ▼ 78 |
| Fabián Ruiz | 0% | — | ▼ 3 |
| Pep Guardiola | 0% | — | ▼ 59 |
| Jude Bellingham | 0% | — | ▼ 72 |
| Thierry Henry ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 1 |
Price history
Resolution rules
The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to be held in London on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.