What will Marco Rubio say during Federalist Society speech Odds · Marco Rubio - Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026
This market has resolved: National Security. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump (3+ times) | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| National Security ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Constitution / Constitutional ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| China / Chinese ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Sovereign / Sovereignty ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Terrorist / Terrorism ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Communist / Communism ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Iran (3+ times) ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Cuba / Cuban | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| America First | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Venezuela / Maduro ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Sanction ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Supreme Court ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Jensen / Nvidia | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Israel / Israeli | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Russia / Russian ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Nuclear ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 2% | +4900 | ▲ 2 |
| Democrat | 2% | +4900 | ▲ 2 |
| Tariff | 6% | +1567 | ▲ 6 |
| NATO | 17% | +488 | ▲ 17 |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Ceasefire | 7% | +1329 | ▲ 7 |
| 2028 / Campaign ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Event does not qualify | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Marco Rubio says Trump (3+ times) as part of Federalist Society speech originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 27, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on What will Marco Rubio say during Federalist Society speech?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.