What will Kevin Warsh say during his December press conference Odds · On Dec 9, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uncertainty | 77% | -335 | ▲ 2 |
| Productivity | 85% | -567 | — |
| Central Bank | 82% | -456 | ▼ 4 |
| Projection | 83% | -471 | — |
| Restrictive | 61% | -153 | — |
| Shock | 70% | -228 | — |
| Oil | 64% | -174 | — |
| Geopolitical | 76% | -308 | — |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 80% | -400 | — |
| Credit | 66% | -190 | — |
| Independent / Independence | 65% | -186 | — |
| Inflation Expectation | 73% | -264 | — |
| Balance Sheet | 70% | -228 | — |
| President | 46% | +117 | ▲ 6 |
| Anchor / Anchored | 62% | -163 | — |
| Family Fight / Family Feud | 39% | +156 | ▲ 5 |
| Dollar | 34% | +194 | — |
| Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas | 40% | +150 | — |
| Volatility | 40% | +150 | — |
| Consumer Confidence | 9% | +1011 | ▲ 1 |
| Dissent | 16% | +545 | — |
| Diesel | 17% | +506 | — |
| Japan / Japanese / Yen | 21% | +376 | — |
| Risk Management | 14% | +641 | — |
| Trump | 5% | +1900 | ▼ 2 |
| Egg | 4% | +2757 | — |
| Event does not qualify | 2% | +6567 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Uncertainty at his Dec 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 10, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on What will Kevin Warsh say during his December press conference?
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