What will Hung Cao say during his confirmation hearing Odds · Hung Cao - Senate Armed Services Committee confirmation hearing for Honorable Hung Cao to be Secretary of the Navy originally scheduled for November 17, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shipbuilding | 75% | -300 | ▼ 16 |
| China / Chinese | 86% | -590 | — |
| Submarine | 93% | -1329 | — |
| Iran / Iranian | 72% | -251 | ▲ 27 |
| Taiwan | 48% | +108 | — |
| Hegseth | 73% | -264 | ▲ 11 |
| Anduril | 16% | +525 | ▼ 3 |
| Bahrain | 35% | +190 | ▲ 33 |
| Drone | 63% | -170 | ▼ 1 |
| Korea / Korean | 41% | +144 | ▼ 4 |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence / Super Intelligence | 52% | -106 | ▼ 11 |
| Abraham Lincoln | 51% | -102 | ▲ 7 |
| Golden Fleet | 64% | -178 | ▼ 4 |
| NATO | 22% | +355 | — |
| Tariff | 12% | +733 | ▲ 11 |
| Coast Guard | 33% | +203 | ▼ 5 |
| COSCO | 13% | +700 | ▼ 7 |
| Event does not qualify | 2% | +6567 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Hung Cao says Shipbuilding as part of Senate Armed Services Committee confirmation hearing for Honorable Hung Cao to be Secretary of the Navy originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
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